All Articles | arthurlupia

2020 - present

Arthur Lupia. 2021. “Practical and Ethical Reasons for Pursuing a More Open Science.” Forthcoming, PS: Political Science and Politics.

William Klein, Alycia Boutté, Heather Brake, Madeline Beal, Katherine Lyon-Daniel, Emily Eisenhauer, Monica Grasso, Bryan Hubbell, Karen Jenni, Christopher Lauer, Arthur Lupia, Christine Prue, Paula Rausch, Carl Shapiro, Michael Smith, and William Riley. 2021. “Leveraging and Building the Science of Risk Communication across US Federal Agencies.” Forthcoming, Nature Human Behavior.

Arthur Lupia. 2020. “Beyond the Pathogen: Social and Behavioral Implications of COVID-19.” World Medical and Health Policy 12: 228-232.

Arthur Lupia, Stuart Soroka, and Alison L. Beatty. 2020. “What Does Congress Want From the National Science Foundation? A Content Analysis of Remarks from 1995 to 2018.” Science Advances 6: 33. DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aaz6300

2010 - 2019

Arthur Lupia and Mathew D. McCubbins. 2019. "Democracy's Continuing Dilemma: How to Build Credibility in Chaotic Times." PS: Political Science and Politics 52:654-658.

William T. Riley, Arthur Lupia, William Klein, Fay Lomax Cook. 2019. “United States Federal Agency Response to the National Academies Workshop on Graduate Training in the Social and Behavioral Sciences.” Journal of Education, Society, and Behavioural Science 32:1-6.

Daniel J. Benjamin, James O. Berger, Magnus Johannesson, Brian A. Nosek, EJ Wagenmakers, Richard Berk, Kenneth A. Bollen, Bjorn Brembs, Lawrence Brown, Colin Camerer, David Cesarini, Christopher P. Chambers, Merlise Clyde, Thomas D. Cook, Pul De Boeck, Zoltan Dienes, Anna Dreber, Kenny Easwaran, Charles Efferson, Ernst Fehr, Fiona Fidler, Andy P. Field, Malcolm Forster, Edward I. George, Richard Gonzalez, Steven Goodman, Edwin Green, Donald P. Green, Anthony Greenwald, Jrrod D. Hadfield, Larry V. Hedges, Leonhard Held, Teck Hua Ho, Herbert Hoijtink, James Holland, Daniel J. Hruschka, Kosuke Imai, Guido Imbens, John P. A. Ioannidis, Minjeong Jeon, Michael Kirchler, David Laibson, John List, Roderick Little, Arthur Lupia, Edward Machery, Scott E. Maxwell, Michael McCarthy, Don Moore, Stephen L. Morgan, Marcus Munafo, Shinichi Nakagawa, Brendan Nyhan, Timothy H. Parker, Luis Pericchi, Marco Perugini, Jeff Rouder, Judith Rousseau, Victoria Savalei, Felix D. Schonbrodt, Thomas Sellke, Betsy Sinclair, Dustin Tingley, Trisha Van Zandt, Simine Vazire, Duncan J. Watts, Christopher Winship. Robert L. Wolpert, Yu Xie, Cristobal Young, Jonathan Zinman, and Valen E. Johnson. “Redefine Statistical Significance.” 2018. Nature Human Behavior 2: 6-10.

Colin Elman, Diana Kapiszewski, and Arthur Lupia. 2018. “Transparent Social Inquiry: Implications for Political Science.” Annual Review of Political Science 21: 29-47.

Arthur Lupia. 2018. “How to Improve Coding for Open-Ended Survey Data: Lessons from the ANES.” In Jon A. Krosnick and David Vannette (eds.), The Palgrave Handbook of Survey Research. Cham, Switzerland: Springer International Publishing AG, 121-128.

Arthur Lupia. 2018. “The Role of Transparency in Maintaining the Legitimacy and Credibility of Survey Research.” In Jon A. Krosnick and David Vannette (eds.), The Palgrave Handbook of Survey Research. Cham, Switzerland: Springer International Publishing AG, 315-318.

Arthur Lupia. 2018. “Coding Open Responses.” In Jon A. Krosnick and David Vannette (eds.), The Palgrave Handbook of Survey Research. Cham, Switzerland: Springer International Publishing AG, 473-488.

Arthur Lupia. 2018. “Research Transparency and the Credibility of Survey-Based Social Science.” In Jon A. Krosnick and David Vannette (eds.), The Palgrave Handbook of Survey Research. Cham, Switzerland: Springer International Publishing AG, 655-666.

Barbara R. Jasny, Nick Wigginton, Marcia McNutt, Tanya Bubela, Stuart Buck, Robert Cook-Deegan, Timothy Gardner, Brooks Hanson, Carolyn Hustad, Veronique Kiermer, David Lazer, Arthur Lupia, Arjun Manrai, Laura McConnell, Kevin Noonan, Elizabeth Phimster, Brenda Simon, Kathy Strandburg, Zara Summers, and Duncan Watts. “Fostering Reproducibility in Industry-Academia Partnerships.” 2017. Science 357: 759-761.

Arthur Lupia and Anne Norton. 2017. “Inequality is Always in the Room: Language and Power in Deliberative Democracy.” Daedalus: Journal of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences: 143: 64-76.

Arthur Lupia. 2017. “Now is the Time: How to Increase the Value of Social Science.” Social Research: An International Quarterly 84: 689-715.

James N. Druckman and Arthur Lupia. 2017. “Using Frames to Make Scientific Communication More Effective.” In Kathleen Hall Jamieson, Dietram Schuefele, and Dan Kahan (eds.) Oxford Handbook on the Science of Science Communication. New York: Oxford University Press, 351-360.

Arthur Lupia. 2016. Uninformed: Why People Know So Little About Politics and What We Can Do About It. New York: Oxford University Press.

James N. Druckman and Arthur Lupia. 2016. "Preference Change in Competitive Political Environments." Annual Review of Political Science 19: 13-31.

Matthew K. Berent, Jon A. Krosnick, and Arthur Lupia. 2016. "Measuring Voter Registration and Turnout in Surveys: Do Official Government Records Yield More Accurate Assessments?" Public Opinion Quarterly 49: 597-621. Replication Appendix.

Arthur Lupia. 2015. "Polls Can Give People a Stronger Voice." New York Times, November 30.

Peter Loewen, Arthur Lupia, and Daniel Rubenson. 2015. "What the Canadian and British Election Polls Tell Us About Donald Trump." Washington Post, October 22.

Brian A. Nosek, George Alter, George C. Banks, Denny Borsboom, Sara D. Bowman, Steven Breckler, Stuart Buck, Christopher Chambers, Gilbert Chin, Garret Christensen, Monica Contestabile, Allan Dafoe, Eric Eich, Jeremy Freese, Rachel Glennerster, Daniel Goroff, Donald P. Green, Brad Hesse, Macartan Humphreys, John Ishiyama, Dean Karlan, Alan Kraut, Arthur Lupia, Patricia Mabry, Temina Madon, Neil Malhotra, Evan Mayo Wilson, Marcia McNutt, Edward Miguel, Elizabeth Levy Paluck, Uri Simonsohn, Courtney Soderberg, Barbara A. Spellman, James Turitto, Gary VandenBos, Simine Vazire, E. J. Wagenmakers, Rick Wilson, and Tal Yarkoni. 2015. “Promoting an Open Research Culture: Author Guidelines for Journals Could Help to Promote Transparency, Openness, and Reproducibility.” Science 348: 1422-1425.

Arthur Lupia, Logan S. Casey, Kristyn L. Karl, Spencer Piston, Timothy J. Ryan and Christopher Skovron. 2015. "What Does it Take to Reduce Racial Prejudice in Individual-Level Candidate Evaluations? A Formal Theoretic Perspective." Political Science Research and Methods 3:1-20.

Arthur Lupia and John Aldrich. 2015. "How Political Science Can Better Communicate its Value: 12 Recommendations from the APSA Task Force." PS: Political Science and Politics: 48: S1-S19.

Arthur Lupia. 2014. "Three Ways to Improve the Response to the State of the Union Address." Washington Post, January 28.

Arthur Lupia and John Aldrich. 2014. "Improving Public Perceptions of Political Science's Value." APSA Task Force Report.

Arthur Lupia. 2014. “What is the Value of Social Science? Challenges for Researchers and Government Funders.” PS: Political Science and Politics 47: 1-7.

Arthur Lupia and George Alter. 2014. "Data Access and Research Transparency in the Quantitative Tradition." PS: Political Science and Politics 47: 54-59.

Arthur Lupia and Colin Elman. 2014. “Openness in Political Science: Data Access and Research Transparency.” PS: Political Science and Politics 47: 19-42.

Arthur Lupia. 2013. "Communicating Science in Politicized Environments." Proceedings of the National Academy of Science 110 (3): 14048-14054.

Arthur Lupia, Yanna Krupnikov and Adam Seth Levine. 2013. "Beyond Facts and Norms: How Psychological Transparency Threatens and Restores Deliberation's Legitimating Potential." Southern California Law Review 86: 459-494.

Gisela Sin and Arthur Lupia. 2013. “How the Senate and President Affect the Timing of Power-Sharing Rule Changes in the US House.” Journal of Law Economics and Organization 29 (6): 1184-1216.

James N. Druckman and Arthur Lupia. 2012. "Experimenting with Politics." Science 335: 1177-1179.

Arthur Lupia, Yanna Krupnikov, Adam Seth Levine, Spencer Piston, and Alexander Von Hagen-Jamar. 2010. "Why State Constitutions Differ in Their Treatment of Same-Sex Marriage." The Journal of Politics 72 (4): 1222-35. Replication information Data

Arthur Lupia, Adam Seth Levine, and Natasha Zharinova. 2010. "Should Political Scientists Use the Self-Confirming Equilibrium Concept? Benefits, Costs and an Application to Jury Theorems." Political Analysis 18: 103--123.

2000 - 2009

Arthur Lupia and Jesse O. Menning. 2009. "When Can Politicians Scare Citizens into Supporting Bad Policies?" American Journal of Political Science 53 (1): 90-106.

Kenyatha V. Loftis and Arthur Lupia. 2008. "Using the Internet to Create Research Opportunities: The New Virtual Communities of TESS and the American National Election Studies." PS: Political Science and Politics 41: 547-550.

Arthur Lupia and Kaare Strøm. 2008. "Bargaining, Transaction Costs, and Coalition Governance." In Torbjörn Bergman, Wolfgang C. Müller, and Kaare Strøm (eds.), Cabinets and Coalition Bargaining: The Democratic Life Cycle in Western Europe. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 51-84. [Book Available Here]

Markus Prior and Arthur Lupia. 2008. "Money, Time, and Political Knowledge: Distinguishing Quick Recall and Political Learning Skills." American Journal of Political Science 52 (1): 168-182. Replication Notes Questionnaire Data

John H. Aldrich, James E. Alt, and Arthur Lupia (Eds.). 2007. Positive Changes in Political Science: The Legacy of Richard D. McKelvey's Most Influential Writings. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press.

David Austen-Smith and Arthur Lupia. 2007. "Information in Elections." In John H. Aldrich, James E. Alt, and Arthur Lupia (Eds.), Positive Changes in Political Science: The Legacy of Richard D. McKelvey's Most Influential Writings. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press. [Book Available Here]

Cheryl Boudreau, Arthur Lupia, Mathew D. McCubbins, and Daniel B. Rodriguez. 2007. "What Statutes Mean: Interpretive Lessons from Positive Theories of Communication and Legislation." San Diego Law Review 44(2): 957-992.

Arthur Lupia, Adam Seth Levine, Jesse O. Menning, and Gisela Sin. 2007. "Were Bush Tax Cut Supporters 'Simply Ignorant?': A Second Look at Conservatives and Liberals in 'Homer Gets a Tax Cut.'" Perspectives on Politics 5 (4): 773-784. Replication file.

Arthur Lupia and Jesse Menning. 2007. "Politics and the Equilibrium of Fear: Can Strategies and Emotions Interact?" In Ann Crigler, Michael MacKuen, George E. Marcus, and W. Russell Neuman (eds.), The Affect Effect: Dynamics of Emotion in Political Thinking and Behavior. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. [Book Available Here]

James N. Druckman, Donald P. Green, James H. Kuklinski, and Arthur Lupia. 2006. "The Growth and Development of Experimental Research in the American Political Science Review." American Political Science Review 100 (4): 627-636.

Yanna Krupnikov, Adam Seth Levine, Markus Prior, and Arthur Lupia. 2006. "Public Ignorance and Estate Tax Repeal: The Effect of Partisan Differences and Survey Incentives." National Tax Journal 59: 425-437.

Arthur Lupia. 2006. "How Elitism Undermines the Study of Citizen Competence." Critical Review 18 (1--3): 217-232.

Arthur Lupia. 2006. "Can Online Deliberation Improve Politics? Scientific Foundations for Success." In Todd Davies and Beth Noveck (eds.), Online Deliberation: Design, Research, and Practice. Stanford, CA and Chicago: CSLI Publications (of the University of Chicago Press). [Book Available Here]

James N. Druckman and Arthur Lupia. 2005. "Mind, Will, and Choice: Lessons from Experiments in Contextual Variation." In Charles Tilly and Robert E. Goodin, (eds.) The Oxford Handbook on Contextual Political Analysis. New York: Oxford University Press, 97-113. [Book Available Here]

Arthur Lupia and Mathew D. McCubbins. 2005. The Democratic Dilemma: Can Citizens Learn What They Need to Know? (Japanese translation). Tokyo: Bokutakusha.

[Data Available Here]

Arthur Lupia and Mathew D. McCubbins. 2005. "Lost in Translation: Social Choice Theory is Misapplied Against Legislative Intent." Journal of Contemporary Legal Issues 14: 585—618.

Arthur Lupia and Tasha S. Philpot. 2005. "Views From Inside the Net: How Websites Affect Young Adults' Political Interest." Journal of Politics 67 (4): 1122-1142.

Arthur Lupia and Kaare Strøm. 2005. "Coalition Governance: A Theoretical Framework." In Torbjörn Bergman, Wolfgang C. Müller, and Kaare Strøm (eds.) Coalition Government in Western Europe. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Elisabeth R. Gerber, Arthur Lupia and Mathew McCubbins. 2004. "When Does Government Limit the Impact of Voter Initiatives?" Journal of Politics 66 (1): 43–68.

Arthur Lupia. 2004. "Can Political Institutions Increase Citizens' Competence? Findings from a Formal Model and Two Experiments." In Irwin Morris, Joe A. Oppenheimer, and Karol Soltan (eds.) Politics from Anarchy to Democracy: Rational Choice in Political Science. Stanford , CA : Stanford University Press, 132-156. [Book Available Here]

Arthur Lupia. 2004. "Necessary Conditions for Improving Civic Competence." Working Paper.

Arthur Lupia. 2004. "Questioning Our Competence: Tasks, Institutions, and the Limited Practical Relevance of Political Knowledge Measures" Manuscript.

Arthur Lupia. 2004. "The Wrong Tack (Can Deliberation Day Improve Civic Competence?)" Legal Affairs 3:43-45.

Arthur Lupia and John G. Matsusaka. 2004. "Direct Democracy: New Approaches to Old Problems." Annual Review of Political Science 7: 463–482.

Arthur Lupia. 2003. "Delegation and its Perils." In Kaare Strøm, Wolfgang C. Müller, and Torbjörn Bergman (eds.) Delegation and Accountability in West European Parliamentary Democracies. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 33-54. [Book Available Here]

Arthur Lupia and Zoe Baird. 2003. "Can Web Sites Change Citizens: Implications of Web, White and Blue 2000." PS: Political Science and Politics 36 (1): 77-82.

Arthur Lupia and Gisela Sin. 2003. "Which Public Goods Are Endangered? How Evolving Technologies Affect The Logic of Collective Action." Public Choice 117: 315-331.

Gregory L. Bovitz, James N. Druckman and Arthur Lupia. 2002. "When Can a News Organization Lead Public Opinion? Ideology versus Market Forces in Decisions to Make News." Public Choice 113: 127-155.

Arthur Lupia. 2002. "Deliberation Disconnected: What it Takes to Improve Civic Competence." Law and Contemporary Problems 65: 133-150.

Arthur Lupia. 2002. "New Ideas in Experimental Political Science." Political Analysis 10 (4): 319-324.

Arthur Lupia. 2002. "Who Can Persuade Whom? Implications from the Nexus of Psychology and Rational Choice Theory." In James H. Kuklinski (ed.) Thinking About Political Psychology. New York: Cambridge University Press, 51–88. [Book Available Here]

Elisabeth R. Gerber, Arthur Lupia, Mathew D. McCubbins, and D. Roderick Kiewiet. 2001. Stealing the Initiative: How State Government Responds to Direct Democracy. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice-Hall.

John D. Huber and Arthur Lupia. 2001. "Cabinet Instability and Delegation in Parliamentary Democracies." American Journal of Political Science 45 (1): 18-32.

Arthur Lupia. 2001. "Delegation of Power: Agency Theory." In Neil J. Smelser and Paul B. Baltes (eds.) International Encyclopedia of the Social and Behavioral Sciences 5: 3375 - 3377. Oxford, UK: Elsevier Science Limited.

Arthur Lupia. 2001. "Dumber than Chimps? An Assessment of Direct Democracy Voters." In Larry J. Sabato, Bruce Larson, and Howard Ernst (eds.) Dangerous Democracy? The Battle Over Ballot Initiatives in America. Lanham, MD: Rowman and Littlefield, 66-70. [Book Available Here]

Arthur Lupia. 2001. Evaluation of the Web White and Blue Network 2000. New York: Markle Foundation.

Arthur Lupia and Richard Johnston. 2001. "Are Voters to Blame? Voter Competence and Elite Maneuvers in Public Referendums." In Matthew Mendelsohn and Andrew Parkin (eds.) Referendum Democracy: Citizens, Elites, and Deliberation in Referendum Campaigns. Toronto: MacMillan/St. Martin's Press, 191-210. [Book Available Here]

Arthur Lupia and Mathew D. McCubbins. 2001. "A Response to Austen-Smith." Public Choice 106: 183-189.

James N. Druckman and Arthur Lupia. 2000. "Preference Formation." Annual Review of Political Science 3: 1-24.

Arthur Lupia. 2000. "The EU, the EEA, and Domestic Accountability: How Outside Forces Affect Delegation within Member States." Journal of Legislative Studies 6: 15-32.

Arthur Lupia. 2000. "Evaluating Political Science Research: Information for Buyers and Sellers." PS: Political Science and Politics 33 (1): 7-13.

Arthur Lupia and Mathew D. McCubbins. 2000. "Representation or Abdication? How Citizens Use Institutions to Help Delegation Succeed." European Journal of Political Research 37: 291-307.

Arthur Lupia, Mathew D. McCubbins, and Samuel L. Popkin. 2000. "Incorporating Reason into the Study of Politics." In Arthur Lupia, Mathew D. McCubbins, and Samuel L. Popkin (eds.) Elements of Reason: Cognition, Choice, and the Bounds of Rationality. New York: Cambridge University Press, 1-20. [Book Available Here]

Arthur Lupia and Mathew D. McCubbins. 2000. "The Institutional Foundations of Political Competence." In Arthur Lupia, Mathew D. McCubbins, and Samuel L. Popkin (eds.) Elements of Reason: Cognition, Choice, and the Bounds of Rationality. New York: Cambridge University Press, 47-66. [Book Available Here]