Recent Articles and Working Papers Pertinent to the

Mission of the National Science Foundation

and its Social Behavioral and Economic Sciences Directorate



This research seeks to help people and organizations make better decisions in a wide range of circumstances. 

This work has been recognized with a Carnegie fellowship, Guggenheim fellowship, the National Academy of Science’s Award for Initiatives in Research, and multiple awards for scholarship, teaching, and public service.

Arthur Lupia has a bachelor's degree in economics from the University of Rochester and masters and doctoral degrees in social science from the California Institute of Technology.


Reviews of Uninformed

"Arthur Lupia poses a ground-breaking, accessible, and passionate challenge to conventional wisdom." --The Journal of Politics 

"In this capstone work, ... Arthur Lupia synthesizes years of work with scientists and educators in all arenas to figure out how to increase issue competence among voters." --The Telegraph (UK)

"Lupia presents solutions to improve the interaction and communication strategies of those who would seek to improve citizens' political knowledge..." --Science 

"Rather than focusing on how an environmental regulation might slightly change the temperature on a polar ice cap, for example, [educators] should explain how it will save a local elementary school from ending up underwater. Once voters are hooked on a big-picture concept, it's easier to get them engaged..." --Time Magazine 

"Lupia provides sightlines for educators to ... add new voices of our political discourse." --Science 

"Lupia’s mantra, throughout the book, is that “we can do better.” Uninformed provides a foundation for scholars and educators alike to do precisely that." -- The Journal of Politics


Arthur Lupia. 2021. “Practical and Ethical Reasons for Pursuing a More Open Science.” Forthcoming, PS: Political Science and Politics.


William Klein, Alycia Boutté, Heather Brake, Madeline Beal, Katherine Lyon-Daniel, Emily Eisenhauer, Monica Grasso, Bryan Hubbell, Karen Jenni, Christopher Lauer, Arthur Lupia, Christine Prue, Paula Rausch, Carl Shapiro, Michael Smith, and William Riley. 2021. “Leveraging and Building the Science of Risk Communication across US Federal Agencies.” Forthcoming, Nature Human Behavior.


Arthur Lupia. 2020. “Beyond the Pathogen: Social and Behavioral Implications of COVID-19.World Medical and Health Policy 12: 228-232.


Arthur Lupia, Stuart Soroka, and Alison L. Beatty. 2020. “What Does Congress Want From the National Science Foundation? A Content Analysis of Remarks from 1995 to 2018.” Science Advances 6: 33. DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aaz6300 

Arthur Lupia and Mathew D. McCubbins. 2019. "Democracy's Continuing Dilemma: How to Build Credibility in Chaotic Times." PS: Political Science and Politics 52:654-658.


William T. Riley, Arthur Lupia, William Klein, Fay Lomax Cook. 2019. “United States Federal Agency Response to the National Academies Workshop on Graduate Training in the Social and Behavioral Sciences.” Journal of Education, Society, and Behavioural Science 32:1-6.

Daniel J. Benjamin, James O. Berger, Magnus Johannesson, Brian A. Nosek, EJ Wagenmakers, Richard Berk, Kenneth A. Bollen, Bjorn Brembs, Lawrence Brown, Colin Camerer, David Cesarini, Christopher P. Chambers, Merlise Clyde, Thomas D. Cook, Pul De Boeck, Zoltan Dienes, Anna Dreber, Kenny Easwaran, Charles Efferson, Ernst Fehr, Fiona Fidler, Andy P. Field, Malcolm Forster, Edward I. George, Richard Gonzalez, Steven Goodman, Edwin Green, Donald P. Green, Anthony Greenwald, Jrrod D. Hadfield, Larry V. Hedges, Leonhard Held, Teck Hua Ho, Herbert Hoijtink, James Holland, Daniel J. Hruschka, Kosuke Imai, Guido Imbens, John P. A. Ioannidis, Minjeong Jeon, Michael Kirchler, David Laibson, John List, Roderick Little, Arthur Lupia, Edward Machery, Scott E. Maxwell, Michael McCarthy, Don Moore, Stephen L. Morgan, Marcus Munafo, Shinichi Nakagawa, Brendan Nyhan, Timothy H. Parker, Luis Pericchi, Marco Perugini, Jeff Rouder, Judith Rousseau, Victoria Savalei, Felix D. Schonbrodt, Thomas Sellke, Betsy Sinclair, Dustin Tingley, Trisha Van Zandt, Simine Vazire, Duncan J. Watts, Christopher Winship. Robert L. Wolpert, Yu Xie, Cristobal Young, Jonathan Zinman, and Valen E. Johnson.  “Redefine Statistical Significance.” 2018. Nature Human Behavior 2: 6-10.

Colin Elman, Diana Kapiszewski, and Arthur Lupia. 2018. Transparent Social Inquiry: Implications for Political Science.” Annual Review of Political Science 21: 29-47.


Arthur Lupia. 2018. “How to Improve Coding for Open-Ended Survey Data: Lessons from the ANES.” In Jon A. Krosnick and David Vannette (eds.), The Palgrave Handbook of Survey Research. Cham, Switzerland: Springer International Publishing AG, 121-128.


Arthur Lupia. 2018. “The Role of Transparency in Maintaining the Legitimacy and Credibility of Survey Research.” In Jon A. Krosnick and David Vannette (eds.), The Palgrave Handbook of Survey Research. Cham, Switzerland: Springer International Publishing AG, 315-318.


Arthur Lupia. 2018. “Coding Open Responses.” In Jon A. Krosnick and David Vannette (eds.), The Palgrave Handbook of Survey Research. Cham, Switzerland: Springer International Publishing AG, 473-488.


Arthur Lupia. 2018. “Research Transparency and the Credibility of Survey-Based Social Science.” In Jon A. Krosnick and David Vannette (eds.), The Palgrave Handbook of Survey Research. Cham, Switzerland: Springer International Publishing AG, 655-666.

This book provides the first comprehensive overview of how experimental research is transforming the study of politics. Some chapters explain and define core concepts in experimental design and analysis. Other chapters provide an intellectual history of the experimental movement. The book documents the growing influence of experimental political science.