Recent Articles and Working Papers Pertinent to the

Mission of the National Science Foundation

and its Social Behavioral and Economic Sciences Directorate



This research draws from mathematics, statistics, and the neurosciences to clarify how people can make better decisions in a range of adverse circumstances. The work on science communication and civic education has been influenced by, and in turn has influenced, scholarly practice, policymakers, and classroom teaching around the world.

This work has been recognized with a Carnegie fellowship, Guggenheim fellowship, the National Academy of Science’s Award for Initiatives in Research, and multiple awards for scholarship, teaching, and public service.

Arthur Lupia has a bachelor's degree in economics from the University of Rochester and masters and doctoral degrees in social science from the California Institute of Technology.


Reviews of Uninformed

"Arthur Lupia poses a ground-breaking, accessible, and passionate challenge to conventional wisdom." --The Journal of Politics 

"In this capstone work, ... Arthur Lupia synthesizes years of work with scientists and educators in all arenas to figure out how to increase issue competence among voters." --The Telegraph (UK)

"Lupia presents solutions to improve the interaction and communication strategies of those who would seek to improve citizens' political knowledge..." --Science 

"Rather than focusing on how an environmental regulation might slightly change the temperature on a polar ice cap, for example, [educators] should explain how it will save a local elementary school from ending up underwater. Once voters are hooked on a big-picture concept, it's easier to get them engaged..." --Time Magazine 

"Lupia provides sightlines for educators to ... add new voices of our political discourse." --Science 

"Lupia’s mantra, throughout the book, is that “we can do better.” Uninformed provides a foundation for scholars and educators alike to do precisely that." -- The Journal of Politics


Daniel J. Benjamin, James O. Berger, Magnus Johannesson, Brian A. Nosek, EJ Wagenmakers, Richard Berk, Kenneth A. Bollen, Bjorn Brembs, Lawrence Brown, Colin Camerer, David Cesarini, Christopher P. Chambers, Merlise Clyde, Thomas D. Cook, Pul De Boeck, Zoltan Dienes, Anna Dreber, Kenny Easwaran, Charles Efferson, Ernst Fehr, Fiona Fidler, Andy P. Field, Malcolm Forster, Edward I. George, Richard Gonzalez, Steven Goodman, Edwin Green, Donald P. Green, Anthony Greenwald, Jrrod D. Hadfield, Larry V. Hedges, Leonhard Held, Teck Hua Ho, Herbert Hoijtink, James Holland, Daniel J. Hruschka, Kosuke Imai, Guido Imbens, John P. A. Ioannidis, Minjeong Jeon, Michael Kirchler, David Laibson, John List, Roderick Little, Arthur Lupia, Edward Machery, Scott E. Maxwell, Michael McCarthy, Don Moore, Stephen L. Morgan, Marcus Munafo, Shinichi Nakagawa, Brendan Nyhan, Timothy H. Parker, Luis Pericchi, Marco Perugini, Jeff Rouder, Judith Rousseau, Victoria Savalei, Felix D. Schonbrodt, Thomas Sellke, Betsy Sinclair, Dustin Tingley, Trisha Van Zandt, Simine Vazire, Duncan J. Watts, Christopher Winship. Robert L. Wolpert, Yu Xie, Cristobal Young, Jonathan Zinman, and Valen E. Johnson.  “Redefine Statistical Significance.” 2018. Nature Human Behavior 2: 6-10.

Colin Elman, Diana Kapiszewski, and Arthur Lupia. 2018. Transparent Social Inquiry: Implications for Political Science.” Annual Review of Political Science 21: 29-47.


Arthur Lupia. 2018. “How to Improve Coding for Open-Ended Survey Data: Lessons from the ANES.” In Jon A. Krosnick and David Vannette (eds.), The Palgrave Handbook of Survey Research. Cham, Switzerland: Springer International Publishing AG, 121-128.


Arthur Lupia. 2018. “The Role of Transparency in Maintaining the Legitimacy and Credibility of Survey Research.” In Jon A. Krosnick and David Vannette (eds.), The Palgrave Handbook of Survey Research. Cham, Switzerland: Springer International Publishing AG, 315-318.


Arthur Lupia. 2018. “Coding Open Responses.” In Jon A. Krosnick and David Vannette (eds.), The Palgrave Handbook of Survey Research. Cham, Switzerland: Springer International Publishing AG, 473-488.


Arthur Lupia. 2018. “Research Transparency and the Credibility of Survey-Based Social Science.” In Jon A. Krosnick and David Vannette (eds.), The Palgrave Handbook of Survey Research. Cham, Switzerland: Springer International Publishing AG, 655-666.

Barbara R. Jasny, Nick Wigginton, Marcia McNutt, Tanya Bubela, Stuart Buck, Robert Cook-Deegan, Timothy Gardner, Brooks Hanson, Carolyn Hustad, Veronique Kiermer, David Lazer, Arthur Lupia, Arjun Manrai, Laura McConnell, Kevin Noonan, Elizabeth Phimster, Brenda Simon, Kathy Strandburg, Zara Summers, and Duncan Watts. “Fostering Reproducibility in Industry-Academia Partnerships.” 2017. Science 357: 759-761. 


Arthur Lupia and Anne Norton. 2017. Inequality is Always in the Room: Language and Power in Deliberative Democracy.” Daedalus: Journal of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences: 143: 64-76.

Arthur Lupia. 2017. “Now is the Time: How to Increase the Value of Social Science.” Social Research: An International Quarterly 84: 689-715. 

James N. Druckman and Arthur Lupia. 2017. “Using Frames to Make Scientific Communication More Effective.” In Kathleen Hall Jamieson, Dietram Schuefele, and Dan Kahan (eds.) Oxford Handbook on the Science of Science Communication. New York: Oxford University Press, 351-360.

Arthur Lupia. 2016. Uninformed: Why People Know So Little About Politics and What We Can Do About It. New York: Oxford University Press.

James N. Druckman and Arthur Lupia. 2016. "Preference Change in Competitive Political Environments." Annual Review of Political Science 19: 13-31.

Matthew K. Berent, Jon A. Krosnick, and Arthur Lupia. 2016. "Measuring Voter Registration and Turnout in Surveys: Do Official Government Records Yield More Accurate Assessments?" Public Opinion Quarterly 49: 597-621. Replication Appendix.